The Spring of Discontent

David Bray is President of Bray & Partners Communications

Feel free to forward questions and inquiries:

Phone:  (416)431-5792 

E-mail: davidbray@brayandpartners.com 

Web sites: brayandpartners.com, davidbray.ca

I’m not sure that I can aptly describe people’s reaction to the diary book radio ratings released today. I will humbly try, to the best of my ability, to describe the methodology utilized and the overall climate in the world of radio measurement.

As you may recall, 56 diary markets were discontinued by Numeris leaving us with our current 22, reporting central area only. The Fall 2020 book was cancelled outright due to a number of factors.

This Spring book (and I use those words loosely) uses data collected from Aug. 31, 2020 to May 2, 2021 (continuous measurement). That in itself presents challenges. As everyone is aware, substantial changes, format and otherwise, have taken place during that time period. I don’t think that any of us are what we used to be. For certain markets (we don’t know which) where there was a shortfall in sample, some data from Spring 2020 was used. Numeris has transitioned to the exclusive use of online diaries which presents another series of methodological challenges. Don’t forget to add COVID-19 and our altered behaviours into the mix. As per my updated quote from last year of SNL’s Gilda Radner (if you remember her) “…it’s always something…..but never more than now.”

Citing a number of issues, Numeris suggests using an “adjustment factor” when looking at this release’s figures. In a companion document they outline some of these issues but don’t detail exactly what numerical factors to apply to different markets. It is more of a general impression.

I was asked if, by issuing this caveat, have we not undermined the figures just released?

Lastly, we hope to hear an announcement shortly of who will be handling the measurement of the 56 orphaned stations. As someone who has loved BBM/Numeris, working on a variety of committees, all of this is troubling to report. But don’t look now…a new era in radio measurement may be upon us sooner than you think.

I’m confused. But for now, let’s take a look at five market results from this book.

Ottawa-Gatineau: Bragging rights at the top of the ratings heap go to CBC Radio One which is waaay out in front (again) delivering a 16.8% share for A12+ (up from 15.8% in Spring 2020). The New Hot 89.9 grabs the #1 spot with women 25-54 delivering a 12.2% share (down from 12.9% in Spring 2020). CBC Radio One holds the #1 spot for males 25-54, posting a 9.3% share (down from 10.7%). CHEZ 106 leads the way for M18-34 with an 8.4%. For F18-34, Hot 89.9 leads, posting an impressive 18.9% share.

Winnipeg: CBC Radio One grabs the #1 spot A12+ with a 16.7 % share of hours tuned (up from 13.9% in Spring 2020). Benefitting from fewer country stations in the market, top spot for F25-54 goes to QX104 with a 12.8% share (up from 11.3% in Spring 2020). In a very significant change, there is a three-way tie for top spot for M25-54 listeners, 9.7 % share for Power 97, 680 CJOB and CBC Radio One. QX104 heads the list for M18-34 with an 11.9% followed by 92.1 CITI at 10.6%. For F18-34, the favourite is QX104 at 15.2%.

Halifax: CBC Radio One takes #1 A12+, posting a 21.5% share of hours tuned (up from 18.5% in the Spring 2020 book). MOVE 100 (formerly C100) takes top spot for F25-54, delivering an 18.1% share (down from 18.2% a year ago). As usual, Q104 tops the list for M25-54 with a 22.6% share (down from 26.5% last Spring). For M18-34, Q104 leads the way with 28.2%. When it comes to women 18-34, Move 100 takes top spot posting a 28.7% share.

Hamilton: For originating stations…KX 94.7 leads the way for A12+ with a 7.0% (down from 7.4% in the Spring 2020 book). K-Lite is popular with women, taking #1 spot for F25-54 delivering a 10.9% share (down from 12.1% last spring). For M25-54, Y108 remains on top with an 18.0% (down from 10.0%). Y108 also takes top spot for M18-34 delivering a 10.1% (down from 16.4% a year ago). KX 94.7 stays out front for F18-34 posting a 13.2 % share.

Victoria: CBC Radio One is #1 for A12+ with a 21.7% share (down from 20.4% in the Spring 2020 book). Ocean 98.5 is tops with the women, taking #1 spot for F25-54 delivering an 18.3 % share (up from 13.2% a year ago). For M25-54, The Q! is on top at 19.4% share, followed by The Zone with 17.7%. For M18-34, The Q leads with 27.0%.  Virgin Radio is #1 with F18-34, posting a 17.5%.

See summary charts below: A brief overview of share figures from the Spring 2021 Diary Numeris release courtesy of David Bray…

Ottawa-Gatineau

% Share of Hours Tuned

(Mon.-Sun, 5a-1a)

Winnipeg

% Share of Hours Tuned

(Mon.-Sun, 5a-1a)

Halifax

% Share of Hours Tuned

(Mon.-Sun, 5a-1a)

Hamilton

% Share of Hours Tuned

(Mon.-Sun, 5a-1a)

Victoria

% Share of Hours Tuned

(Mon.-Sun, 5a-1a)